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Two species comparisons and how to do them (well)

10/6/2025

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Thirty years ago, Ted Garland (UC Riverside) published a seminal paper entitled “Why not to do two-species comparative studies: limitations for inferring adaptation” that was published in the journal Physiological Zoology (which then became Physiological and Biochemical Zoology, and is now Ecological and Evolutionary Physiology). This is an incisive and powerful paper, and it lays out the argument for why, whenever possible, comparative studies should incorporate multiple species and phylogenetic comparative analyses for inferring adaptation. This paper was published right at the advent of more broadly available phylogenies and increasing accessibility of phylogenetic comparative methods (such as independent contrasts). I recommend reading the paper- it is a clear and well-written paper with relevance for research today. However, I think the core message has been misremembered and misapplied in a way that can thwart the publication of solid research.

            My interest in this matter comes from personal experience with publishing ecological and physiology research, often with only two species. Many a time the dreaded reviewer number two would trot out the first part of the title of Garland (1994) and tell us that we can’t do two species comparisons. But that paper is about how there are limitations for inferring adaptation with only two species, not that no study should ever be published with two species. There is no reason that you can’t include two species in a single paper to talk about variation within a group, or simply for convenience, as long as you careful about evolutionary inferences. Additionally, the philosophical issues that Garland (1994) was raising aren’t solved by simply adding (or subtracting) one species to your study- you need at least dozens of species for robust phylogenetic comparative analyses. In other words, there is no nadir of inference power that is centered at a sample size of two species. My close collaborator Michael Logan (at University Nevada Reno) and I were grousing about the kinds of reviews that we were getting, and so we decided to publish a perspective piece highlighting the contexts where two (or a few) species comparisons were appropriate (later published in Physiological and Biochemical Zoology). Given that this perspective piece was a sort of blog post, I thought it would be worth discussing on the blog.

            To understand the context in which the original Garland (1994) paper was written, we need to go back to the type of comparative physiology work of the prior few decades. I think it is safe to say that many physiologists were not exceptionally well-versed in evolutionary biology, which at the time was still in initial development (this was in the modern synthesis era). There is no doubt that we learned a lot about physiology in this era, but some of these studies would not pass muster today. One of my favorite concepts (and literature) of comparative physiology of that era is the idea of symmorphosis. Symmorphosis is the idea that organismal systems should have quantitatively matched design for maximal efficiency, such that no component of the system is functioning at substantially greater capacity than the rest of the system. To put this in a real physiological context, symmorphosis would suggest that the digestive capacity of intestinal brush-border oligopeptidases that are the final step of protein digestion should be matched to the capacity of brush-border amino acid transporters that transport the resulting amino acids into the body. It is not really the point of this exercise, but symmorphosis as a context is probably true in general, but does not hold up in lots of situations (because of safety factors, because organisms are not optimized but the result of contingency and tradeoffs). Regardless, some of the foundational work underlying this field focused on respiratory physiology, and often compared such divergent species as dogs and goats. While we no doubt learned a lot from this work, inferring adaptation to differences between dogs and goats is fraught, because you only have two data points and they have been separated by many millions of years of evolution. In other words, it is hard to attribute any difference between the species to any single factor, because they differ in so many ways- diet (omnivore vs herbivore), locomotion (unguligrade rather than digitigrade), habitat type, and so on. All of this to say that the original Garland (1994) paper was a call to arms for rigor in comparative research, which was sorely needed at the time and I still think is an important message.

            So what is the second reviewer getting wrong when they tell us that we cannot publish a two-species study? Well, I think they get several things wrong. First (and already addressed above), Garland (1994) is about inferring adaptation. If there are no inferences about adaptation, then bringing up Garland (1994) is irrelevant. Second, there is no criticism of a two-species comparison that does not apply to three-species studies, or four-species studies, or even one-species studies. But assembling data on the number of species necessary for phylogenetic comparative analyses might be difficult or impossible for complex physiological data, and it may take many years to accumulate enough research for comparative analyses. So what do you do if you want to think about evolution and adaptation, but cannot get data for enough species for comparative analyses? The final thing that the second reviewer can get wrong is that there are still ways to infer adaptation, even for only two or a few species, that are even highlighted in Garland (1994).

            How can you infer adaptation from two or a few species? When Mike and I started thinking about this, we were guided by the concept of robust inference from Platt and the severity principle from Mayo and colleagues, which I first learned about by reading the Dynamic Ecology blog. Basically, we think you can infer adaptation by 1) making appropriate comparisons of closely related species that are generally similar in most ways, 2) formulating hypotheses that can be subjected to integrative testing, 3) collecting lots of data to avoid statistical underdetermination that will allow severe tests of hypotheses, and 4) finally, systematically subjecting alternative hypotheses to severe tests. It is hard to actually do this, particularly in a single study, but I think my best work at least strives for this kind of robustness, either in a single study or across several studies. These basic ideas are already in Garland (1994), so our perspective piece really just expanded on those ideas and combined them with the concepts of robust inference and severity.

            Our hope was that we can convince the integrative biology community (who reviews our manuscripts) to avoid the knee-jerk response of “Two-species = bad” based upon a superficial understanding of Garland (1994). Integrative organismal research is hard and time-consuming, but is important in the context of declining biodiversity and changing global climate. I do think comparative research with only a few species should be careful with inferences, and we don’t want a return to dog to goat comparisons. But we also don’t want to make the publication process more difficult or fraught than necessary, especially as it is only by accumulating single or few species studies that we will be able to deploy phylogenetic comparative analyses to test for adaptation in a macroevolutionary context.
  
 References
Garland Jr, T., & Adolph, S. C. (1994). Why not to do two-species comparative studies: limitations on inferring adaptation. Physiological Zoology, 67(4), 797-828.
 
Cox, C. L., & Logan, M. L. (2021). Using integrative biology to infer adaptation from comparisons of two (or a few) species. Physiological and Biochemical Zoology, 94(3), 162-170.
 
Weibel, E. R., Taylor, C. R., Weber, J. M., Vock, R., Roberts, T. J., & Hoppeler, H. (1996). Design of the Oxygen and Substrate Pathways: VII. Different Structural Limits for Oxygen and Substrate Supply to Muscle Mitochondria. Journal of experimental biology, 199(8), 1699-1709.
 
Weibel, E. R., Marques, L. B., Constantinopol, M., Doffey, F., Gehr, P., & Taylor, C. R. (1987). Adaptive variation in the mammalian respiratory system in relation to nergic demand: VI. The pulmonary gas exchanger. Respiration physiology, 69(1), 81-100.
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External validation is negatively correlated with career stage

9/27/2025

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Early on in grad school, I remember trying to imagine what it would be like to get a paper in a great journal like the American Naturalist, or to get a faculty position, or to get tenure. In my mind, this was accompanied by increasing respect that would lead to greater confidence and self-esteem. However, my experience has been that external validation has decreased as I have progressed in my career. I think that this happens for a couple of reasons.

            The first reason that external validation decreases with career stage is that expectations also shift with career stage. As an undergraduate, you are pretty unusual if you are involved in research, or are really engaged with subject material, or get consistently good grades. Faculty often see part of their role in encouraging students (I certainly do!), so oftentimes there is positive feedback coming from people that you admire. As a grad student, publishing, securing funding, and winning awards is unusual, particularly early on, and that can lead to positive feedback from peers and mentors. However, once you become a postdoc, everybody is publishing, so positive feedback for publishing now probably depends on the venue. No longer are small grants impressive, and so on. Once you are faculty, nobody is excited when you publish (of course you publish! That is your job!) or even get grants (Of course you got a grant! They would fire you if you did not, pre-tenure at least). Even winning a research award will only result in some transient praise. Hence, increasing expectations later in your career tend to diminish external validation.

            Second, the impact of positive feedback starts to depend a lot on who is giving the feedback. Compliments tend to be most impactful when delivered by someone further along in their career than you, and that number shrinks the longer you are in your career. Additionally, if you think like me, you might be inclined to discount praise from junior colleagues because they might be currying favor, or feel obligated in some way to issue a compliment. Neither of these are probably true most of the time, but they still diminish the impact of positive feedback as you progress through your career.
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            My experience is that confidence, unlike external validation, has increased as I have progressed through my career. Hence, while external validation has decreased with length of time that I have been doing this job, I have found that I don’t need it and that I am at my best when I ignore external validation. It is nice when it happens, but I don’t want it to be my motivation when it comes to my career, as that leads to perverse incentives and unhealthy behavior. Rather, I do my best to try and let my better impulses like curiosity and wonder guide my actions. 
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People get weird about non-native species

9/21/2025

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There is no doubt that human activities have moved organisms from where they evolved into novel environments. Here in the US, we have many ecosystems that are greatly impacted by invasive species, from the Great Lakes to where I live in south Florida. It is since moving to south Florida that I have realized that people get weird about non-native species. In fact, you may have noticed that I am using the term “non-native” rather than invasive. I am choosing to do this because the term invasive should be applied to non-native species that are harmful, and we do not have evidence that many non-native species are harmful.

            What do I mean by saying that people are weird about non-native species? I mean that when I meet people and mention or discuss non-native species, I encounter several common attitudes. First, many seem to have an negative or even angry response to non-native species and treat individuals of non-native species as enemies. Second, some people assume negative impacts of non-natives in the absence of evidence. Finally, there seems to be a general reluctance to realistically evaluate whether non-native or even invasive species can be eradicated. 

            As an example of thinking of non-native species as enemies, I have a friend from Texas who would monitor non-native European starling nests, and kill any offspring just before fledging in order to cause the birds to waste their energy raising offspring that never fledge. This has always struck me as unhinged. As another example, I am aware of a case in Florida where the homeowner would kill all non-native lizards on their property (which is likely all lizards in south Florida). The ire towards non-native species seems quite silly to me, as the organisms themselves are not volitional- they simply ended up here. And in most cases, non-native species are often quite entrenched by the time we are aware of them, such that individual action is unlikely to influence their population sizes.  

            The second issue is that it is commonly assumed that non-native species are actually invasive, or harmful in some way. While we certainly know that invasive species can initiate ecological disasters (e.g., Burmese pythons in South Florida or brown tree snakes in Guam), in many cases, either there is no evidence or only mixed evidence of negative impacts. For example, here in south Florida, many non-native species are only found in heavily disturbed urban environments. In that case, the non-native species are likely not impacting any native species, and might even boost biodiversity in urban environments.

            Finally, even if non-native species are actually invasive or harmful in some way, both individual reactions and policy seem geared towards eradication, rather than understanding how to mitigate negative impacts of invasive species. It is worth noting that complete eradication of an invasive species has basically never happened, except on small and isolated islands. Think cane toads in Australia (still a problem), brown tree snakes in Guam (still a problem), feral hogs in the US (still a problem), and I could go on and on.  Probably the most abundant terrestrial vertebrate in Florida is the brown anole, which is native to the Bahamas and Cuba and has been in Florida for nearly a century. I don’t think brown anoles will ever be eradicated, so any policy around this species should focus on understanding any negative impacts and learning how to mitigate them.

            How we think of non-native species, and particularly binary thinking about eradication, has ramifications for policy. For example, Florida has some strict laws about capturing and releasing non-native species to avoid the spread of potentially harmful species. This is probably logical for unestablished non-native species, but can lead to farcical outcomes for established non-native species. For example, it might be hard to understand how abundant and widespread brown anoles are if you have not spent much time in south Florida (and don’t spend your time looking for lizards), but I can probably find a brown anole within a meter or two of me anywhere outside in Florida, and I have measured densities of more than one individual per square meter. Because these lizards are so common, many of my students grew up catching them in their backyards or parks, and play games like fashioning lizard earrings (this pugnacious lizard will open its mouth as a warning when captured, and will happily chomp down on an earlobe if presented the opportunity). Of course, the lizards are usually released after capture and a brief stint as earrings. According to current Florida statutes, all of those children are guilty of releasing an invasive species into the wild, which is against the law. This is farcical because there is no way that brown anoles will ever be eradicated, and the release of a lizard ten minutes after capture has zero impact on their population dynamics. So Florida has created a law, based upon the binary response to invasive species (bad=eradicate) that has created millions of unknowing wildlife law violators. It is not too hard to imagine how this could lead to future problems.
           
Of course, it is clear that some non-native species become invasive, and when they do so, I think we should work to eradicate invasive species and/or minimize the negative impact of invasive species. I think that the most ethical action, when possible, is to eradicate harmful invasive species. I also think it makes sense to avoid introductions of non-native species based upon the precautionary principle. So I am not advocating for a laissez-faire attitude towards invasive species. But I am suggesting that a paradigm shift away from binary thinking about non-native species and towards more nuanced thinking.
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            Beyond the academic and applied thoughts about non-native species, as a nature-lover, I don’t think it is a beneficial way to view ecosystems as having good species and bad species. I happen to live in a place with lots of non-native species, but I think biodiversity is increasingly homogenized across the globe, and this is only likely to accelerate with a growing human population, global-scale human travel, and global climate change. Where I live, most of the biodiversity of reptiles and amphibians is non-native, at least in urban and suburban environs. I think it is actually dangerous for conservation to teach the broader public that some of the nature around them is bad, or not really nature, somehow. And for many people in heavily urbanized environments, much of the nature that they get to experience may well be non-native species (e.g., house sparrows, rock doves, starlings). I think it is far better to interact with nature in a positive, non-adversarial nature, and to avoid conflating the potential negative impacts of invasive species with our response to individual non-native organisms.


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​On research in the tropics

9/13/2025

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There has been increasing attention paid to scientists from wealthier countries, often in North America or Europe, conducting research in often poorer countries in Africa, Asia, and South America. In fact, the term “helicopter research” describes this practice, in particular when the science is conducted without any inclusion of local communities, and is criticized as colonial way of conducting science. I tend to agree with this critique. But a good chunk of my research is through the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute in Panama, which is part of the Smithsonian Institution, which is part of the US federal government. There is just no way to get around the fact that this scientific institution is a colonial institution. I mean, the US essentially fomented secession of the state of Panama (at the time part of the country of Colombia) from the rest of Colombia in order to facilitate the construction of the Panama Canal (you should read the excellent The Path Between the Seas: The Creation of the Panama Canal, 1870-1914 by David McCullough).

            I have spent much of my career working in tropics of Mexico and Central America, including Mexico, Honduras, Costa Rica, and Panama. While I am sure that there have been aspects of helicopter research with that work, by and large the research in Mexico, Honduras, and Costa Rica generally included collaborators from those countries and a fair amount of community engagement. My work in Panama is a little different, because there is a US government institution that we interact with to facilitate permits and other permissions and handle logistics. So there is little required contact or interaction with local scientists that are not part of STRI.

            I should hit the pause button here to state that probably most STRI employees in Panama are Panamanian (although the majority of staff scientists are not from Panama), so we do interact with Panamanians while working with STRI. It is also worth noting that the leadership of STRI is aware of the challenge of being a US institution in another country, and has sought solutions to provide greater integration of STRI with the local scientists and communities. This is also an area where STRI is seeking ongoing improvement.
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            However, the fact remains that I am part of an explicitly colonial arm of the US in another country, and that fact makes me a little uneasy. So what can I, or should I, do about it? I don’t think there are any easy answers. The language, and much of the culture in Panama has been shaped by Spanish colonialism, especially in the canal zone. The fact that I grew up in the US is the result of  European colonialism and displacement of Native Americans. I think we are all trapped to some degree in systems of oppression and power that have shaped the world we live in. But I don’t think that is an excuse to ignore the cultural quandaries associated with US scientists working in the tropics. At least for now, my choice is to both acknowledge the reality of the situation and to try and be as fair and ethical as possible while working with STRI. That can entail involving local scientists, trying to learn about modern Panamanian culture, including the native Panamanian culture, and supporting improved equity for Panamanian employees. It also means that this process is ongoing, and I need to continue to educate myself about Panama, and continue to try and improve how our research is conducted in Panama. 
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Who am I?

9/6/2025

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I usually describe myself as an integrative evolutionary biologist. What does this mean? Well, in practice it means that all of my research interests revolve around evolutionary biology, and I use tools and research paradigms from lots of different fields ranging from ecology to physiology to transcriptomics. If I began my career fifty years ago, I would be considered a zoologist (I am one of the last cohorts to have a B.S. in Zoology from Iowa State University), which seems fair to me. In other words, my research is focused on understanding organisms, using evolutionary biology to understand and contextualize results. I have mostly studied reptiles and amphibians, but I also have worked on scorpions, centipedes, crayfish, and cockroaches.

            I am currently an Associate Professor in the Department of Biological Sciences at Florida International University in Miami, Florida. FIU is a major research university (R1), which means I run a lab with PhD students and there are substantial expectations for funding and publications. I started at FIU in January 2020, basically weeks before the world shut down for the COVID epidemic. Before FIU, I was an assistant professor for four years at Georgia Southern University in Statesboro, Georgia. GSU is a large, moderate research university that at the time had Master’s students and not PhD students. Hence, I ran a lab with M.S. students, taught a fair amount (three classes per semester) and had moderate expectations for teaching and research. I am also a Research Associate at the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute in Panama, where much of my current research takes place.

            Like most university professors, research is a big part of what I do, and promotions are largely based upon research funding and productivity. Also like most professors, teaching is also a big part of what I do. I have taught a variety of courses over the years, including Physiology, Comparative Physiology, Evolutionary Ecology, Comparative Vertebrate Anatomy, Vertebrate Zoology, and Herpetology. Currently, I teach Comparative Vertebrate Anatomy and Herpetology in alternating semesters at FIU. I also teach a three-week course in Field Herpetology at Mountain Lake Biological Station, which is part of the University of Virginia. Teaching is a core aspect of what I do, and I think about teaching philosophy and practice quite a bit.
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            ​Outside of my job, I like most hobbies that have anything to do with nature- hiking, birding, herping (like birding but with reptiles and amphibians), fishing, and hunting. I also love to travel, both for my job and for fun, hence the name of this blog. 
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Why am I starting a blog now?

9/6/2025

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My primary motivations for blogging now is that I have ideas I want to convey outside of scientific manuscripts, and I am interested in doing more writing that is not for papers and grant proposals. I have also reached a point in my career where I have both opinions that I want to express and I feel empowered to express those opinions (i.e., I have tenure, or at least what passes for tenure in Florida).

            I was also working on a postdoc and looking for a permanent job during the heyday of academic blogs (2012-2015). Since then, I have always enjoyed reading blogs like Small Pond Science/Science for Everyone, Dynamic Ecology, and Scientist Sees Squirrel (and Eco Evo Eco and Sociobiology and many more). It seemed like Twitter had killed off blogs, but post-Twitter meltdown, blogs (or newsletters, which seem to be the same thing) are making a comeback.

            I will be posting at least once a week and I plan to post about research in our field (ecology, evolution, behavior, physiology), science and society, and my experience finding jobs and working as professors in public universities. While part of this is just the exercise of writing, I also hope that what we post is engaging and useful to those who read the blog. I can’t and won’t claim that anything we say will be completely novel, but I hope my perspective is at least interesting for a few people.
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            ​Finally, I call this blog the Itinerant Naturalist, because I love to travel and I have moved a lot for my career, and I aspire to be a good naturalist.
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    Christian L. Cox is faculty at Florida International University. 

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